US-China Tech War Poised to Escalate

California: The U.S.-China tech war is expected to heat up regardless of the outcome of the Nov. 5 presidential election. Both candidates – Republican Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris—are poised to tighten restrictions on Chinese technological advancements.

Kamla Harris pledged to ensure “America, not China, wins the competition for the 21st century.” She is expected to implement targeted regulations, focusing on restricting exports of AI chips and chipmaking tools while working closely with U.S. allies. Former officials and industry experts suggest that her approach would likely follow the Biden administration’s strategy, concentrating on collaborative efforts to block U.S. technology from aiding China’s military.

On the other hand, Trump is expected to take a more aggressive and unilateral approach if elected. Known for his quick, decisive actions during his first term, Trump could expand tariffs and export controls, especially targeting Chinese tech firms like Huawei. His proposed tariffs could reach up to 60% on Chinese imports, and he would likely punish allies reluctant to follow the U.S. lead on these measures.

In addition to chip restrictions, both are expected to address concerns about connected devices made by China, such as smart cars and TikTok. The Biden administration has already proposed rules to ban connected cars with Chinese components, and there is growing concern over China’s potential access to sensitive data via these devices.

While Trump’s strategy may involve sweeping sanctions and penalties, Harris would likely employ a more surgical, strategic approach. Nonetheless, under either candidate, the U.S.-China tech rivalry is set to intensify, with significant implications for trade, technology, and national security.

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